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DHT: 10CSV

21 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.4%
Rochdale
28.3%
Draw
34.4%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Rochdale

vs
0.99

Bradford

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.8%
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).