Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Girona
27.1%
Draw
15.7%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Girona
vs
0.59
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.2%
2-0
13.4%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
11.1%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
0-2
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).