Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Ashton Athletic
24.1%
Draw
42.7%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Ashton Athletic
vs
1.54
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).