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05 May 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.7%
Buyuksehyr
24.3%
Draw
15.0%
Kasimpasa

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Buyuksehyr

vs
1.05

Kasimpasa

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).