Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Sociedad
23.3%
Draw
20.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Sociedad
vs
1.00
Leganes
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).