Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Sheffield United
29.2%
Draw
24.1%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Sheffield United
vs
0.93
Stoke
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).