Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.2%
Clermont
17.9%
Draw
66.9%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Clermont
vs
2.33
Marseille
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-4
4.4%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
1-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).