Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Auxerre
33.2%
Draw
26.6%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Auxerre
vs
0.72
Nantes
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.581.7%
Over 1.549.7%
Over 2.523.8%
Over 3.59.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.3%
1-0
18.3%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).