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Pisa

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vs

03 May 2026 · 00:00

Lecce

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Pisa
31.2%
Draw
35.3%
Lecce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Pisa

vs
0.97

Lecce

Markets

BTTS37.7%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.6%
0-0
14.5%
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).