Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Alcorcon
29.0%
Draw
53.8%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.59
Alcorcon
vs
1.29
Elche
Markets
BTTS32.2%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-0
15.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).