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03 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.8%
Queens Park
31.3%
Draw
24.8%
Cove Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Queens Park

vs
0.85

Cove Rangers

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).