Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.3%
Manchester City
7.9%
Draw
1.8%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32
Manchester City
vs
0.42
Norwich
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.551.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
4-0
12.1%
5-0
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
4-1
5.0%
1-1
3.8%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).