Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Salernitana
20.5%
Draw
61.2%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Salernitana
vs
2.05
Genoa
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
0-0
4.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).