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HHT: 10CSV

28 Jan 2025 · 19:45

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.4%
Southend
19.6%
Draw
10.0%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Southend

vs
0.71

Fylde

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.5%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).