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HHT: 11CSV

20 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.4%
Trabzonspor
12.1%
Draw
3.5%
Yeni Malatyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

3.15

Trabzonspor

vs
0.65

Yeni Malatyaspor

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
4-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
4-1
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
5-0
5.8%
1-1
5.7%
5-1
3.8%
0-0
3.4%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).