Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.6%
Trabzonspor
13.7%
Draw
8.6%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
Trabzonspor
vs
1.24
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS69.8%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.595.7%
Over 2.584.6%
Over 3.568.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
4-0
5.4%
1-1
4.9%
3-2
4.8%
5-1
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
4-2
4.2%
5-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).