Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Brentford
30.1%
Draw
25.8%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Brentford
vs
0.95
Watford
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).