Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Carlisle
23.9%
Draw
35.8%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Carlisle
vs
1.39
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).