Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.6%
Baltika Kaliningrad
21.7%
Draw
5.7%
Akron
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.36
Akron
Markets
BTTS26.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
2-0
18.6%
0-0
12.0%
3-0
11.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
4-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
0-1
3.2%
5-0
1.9%
4-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).