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DHT: 10CSV

27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Dunfermline
34.9%
Draw
33.8%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Dunfermline

vs
1.04

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.584.6%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.7%
0-0
15.4%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).