Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
GAIS
30.1%
Draw
30.6%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
GAIS
vs
1.12
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).