Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Tranmere
25.6%
Draw
41.7%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Tranmere
vs
1.36
Accrington
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).