Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Lille
21.8%
Draw
55.4%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Lille
vs
1.81
Aris
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.7%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).