Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Brescia
28.7%
Draw
41.7%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Brescia
vs
1.42
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).