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07 Nov 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Airdrie Utd
31.7%
Draw
47.2%
Partick

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Airdrie Utd

vs
1.37

Partick

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
12.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).