Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Fylde
27.3%
Draw
41.3%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Fylde
vs
1.49
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).