Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Heidenheim
13.9%
Draw
6.5%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Heidenheim
vs
0.74
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.4%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).