Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Cesena
28.8%
Draw
29.5%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Cesena
vs
1.15
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).