Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Alverca
32.5%
Draw
45.9%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Alverca
vs
1.19
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).