Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Padova
31.3%
Draw
31.7%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Padova
vs
1.07
Perugia
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).