Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.0%
Reading
18.4%
Draw
70.6%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Reading
vs
2.35
Fulham
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
0-3
8.9%
1-1
8.7%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).