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28 Sept 2024 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.0%
Raków Częstochowa
17.5%
Draw
9.5%
Puszcza Niepołomice

Expected Goals (xG)

2.44

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.79

Puszcza Niepołomice

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.8%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.0%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).