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13 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Morton

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Queens Park
31.0%
Draw
38.0%
Morton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Queens Park

vs
1.32

Morton

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).