Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Exeter
26.6%
Draw
21.8%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Exeter
vs
0.73
Northampton
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).