Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Leganes
30.8%
Draw
33.2%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Leganes
vs
0.96
Malaga
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).