Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Kendal Town
29.5%
Draw
32.9%
Dunston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Kendal Town
vs
0.98
Dunston
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).