Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Wolfsburg
28.5%
Draw
26.3%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Wolfsburg
vs
1.03
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).