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09 Mar 2025 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.9%
Sivasspor
34.8%
Draw
44.4%
Göztepe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Sivasspor

vs
1.32

Göztepe

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.0%
0-0
14.6%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).