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14 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.4%
Blackburn
32.1%
Draw
28.5%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Blackburn

vs
0.92

West Brom

Markets

BTTS41.8%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
13.5%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).