Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Porto
24.0%
Draw
10.4%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Porto
vs
0.54
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
2-0
15.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-1
10.4%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).