Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Granada
19.2%
Draw
11.6%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Granada
vs
0.70
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).