Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.8%
PAOK
13.4%
Draw
4.8%
Asteras Tripolis
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
PAOK
vs
0.55
Asteras Tripolis
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
3-0
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
4-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-0
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).