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23 Apr 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
Kalmar
29.0%
Draw
49.4%
IFK Göteborg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Kalmar

vs
1.48

IFK Göteborg

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).