Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Osasuna
23.4%
Draw
20.6%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Osasuna
vs
1.03
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).