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25 May 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.1%
Šibenik
29.9%
Draw
54.0%
Hajduk Split

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Šibenik

vs
1.43

Hajduk Split

Markets

BTTS38.7%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.0%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).