Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Chateauroux
29.2%
Draw
37.2%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Chateauroux
vs
1.00
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
1-0
14.5%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).