Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Le Mans
24.0%
Draw
22.0%
Boulogne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Le Mans
vs
0.85
Boulogne
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).