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18 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.3%
Katowice
24.7%
Draw
22.0%
Motor Lublin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Katowice

vs
1.11

Motor Lublin

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).