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AHT: 01CSV

05 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.3%
Blackburn
29.8%
Draw
49.9%
Bournemouth

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Blackburn

vs
1.36

Bournemouth

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.3%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.8%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).