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AHT: 01CSV

05 Mar 2023 · 14:00

Brest

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.8%
Strasbourg
22.5%
Draw
23.7%
Brest

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Strasbourg

vs
1.05

Brest

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).